Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 2.283765 2.724631 3.197992 3.740849 4.343016 4.987467 5.726243
2025-01-19 1.528716 2.094372 2.755557 3.571425 4.537249 5.631073 6.950300
2025-01-26 1.113138 1.744476 2.543128 3.593237 4.904139 6.455346 8.397972
2025-02-02 0.830942 1.489021 2.386765 3.636250 5.268093 7.269391 9.851117
2025-02-09 0.582275 1.214069 2.149110 3.527726 5.408496 7.793161 10.953002
2025-02-16 0.405450 0.995700 1.945481 3.425769 5.527900 8.273241 11.996346
2025-02-23 0.297211 0.857457 1.832205 3.427356 5.770496 8.905528 13.236720
2025-03-02 0.205449 0.716440 1.686147 3.356211 5.894348 9.371760 14.262380
2025-03-09 0.165738 0.669661 1.688997 3.508178 6.337147 10.274087 15.875410
2025-03-16 0.118292 0.583481 1.604571 3.507658 6.548528 10.857762 17.070425
2025-03-23 0.098956 0.563059 1.639667 3.703293 7.057517 11.864437 18.850937
2025-03-30 0.078093 0.527507 1.637852 3.832667 7.466209 12.735691 20.459849
2025-04-06 0.056279 0.476309 1.597713 3.896198 7.782491 13.494893 21.948437
2025-04-13 0.034745 0.405505 1.500365 3.846971 7.916147 13.992873 23.085776
2025-04-20 0.024003 0.370414 1.477671 3.931244 8.264623 14.809502 24.679882
2025-04-27 0.015887 0.337422 1.452748 4.006913 8.598531 15.608582 26.258968
2025-05-04 0.007306 0.277624 1.343144 3.905141 8.629784 15.953966 27.197699
2025-05-11 0.002649 0.226167 1.239841 3.802571 8.650084 16.277801 28.105508
2025-05-18 0.000940 0.196397 1.191432 3.807497 8.852051 16.878730 29.417585
2025-05-25 0.000121 0.160589 1.110518 3.732603 8.907764 17.252194 30.401782
2025-06-01 0.000032 0.155860 1.136721 3.896604 9.392801 18.299777 32.382331
2025-06-08 NaN 0.134127 1.092663 3.896409 9.580331 18.883612 33.688224
2025-06-15 NaN 0.135033 1.138123 4.106551 10.156087 20.086710 35.919478